Another National Election Analyst Points Out David Jolly’s Ever-Growing Momentum in the Race for Florida Governor

ORLANDO, FL (September 17, 2026) – Decision Desk HQ forecasts that, based on the polling average, David Jolly is leading the Florida Governor’s race by 2.5%, and would win if the election were held today. The website, which provides independent analysis of U.S. elections, found that Byron Donalds’ win probability has slipped seven points in just one month “as David Jolly gains ground each week,” and that the race is nearing “Toss Up” range.

“David and Gwen are out every day on the campaign trail, connecting with voters and feeling the momentum for their message build,” said Jolly campaign Senior Advisor Mark Riddle. “We’ve created a strong, diverse coalition dedicated to creating a better, brighter future for our state. Floridians are ready for a change, and we know, if the election was held today, David and Gwen would be the voters’ choice.”

Jolly, a fifth-generation Floridian, is running a change campaign focused on lowering costs, stopping data centers, and ending the divisive culture wars that have broken Florida’s politics. His opponent, Byron Donalds, is aligned with Donald Trump’s disastrous economic decisions and controlled by the special interests that have sent the costs of energy, insurance, utilities, and healthcare soaring.